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The Arab Awakening: America and the Transformation of the Middle East

by Kenneth M. Pollack Daniel L. Byman Bruce Jones Ibrahim Sharqieh Suzanne Maloney Khaled Elgindy Michael S. Doran Jonathan D. Pollack Sarah E. Yerkes Shibley Telhami Stephen R. Grand Pavel Baev Mer Taspinar Salman Shaikh Akram Al-Turk Shadi Hamid Bruce O. Riedel Ruth Hanau Santini

Even the most seasoned Middle East observers were taken aback by the events of early 2011. Protests born of oppression and socioeconomic frustration erupted throughout the streets; public unrest provoked violent police backlash; long-established dictatorships fell. How did this all happen? What might the future look like, and what are the likely ramifications for the United States and the rest of the world? In The Arab Awakening, experts from the Brookings Institution tackle such questions to make sense of this tumultuous region that remains at the heart of U.S. national interests.The first portion of The Arab Awakening offers broad lessons by analyzing key aspects of the Mideast turmoil, such as public opinion trends within the "Arab Street"; the role of social media and technology; socioeconomic and demographic conditions; the influence of Islamists; and the impact of the new political order on the Arab-Israeli peace process.The next section looks at the countries themselves, finding commonalties and grouping them according to the political evolutions that have (or have not) occurred in each country. The section offers insight into the current situation, and possible trajectory of each group of countries, followed by individual nation studies. The Arab Awakening brings the full resources of Brookings to bear on making sense of what may turn out to be the most significant geopolitical movement of this generation. It is essential reading for anyone looking to understand these developments and their consequences.

In Deep

by Bruce Jones

The woman at the shoreline on Laredo Beach is beautiful, naked, and dead. Horribly dead. Murdered by an unspeakable method that, to the trained eyes of the Santa Barbara police, has "psychopath"-and maybe even "serial killer' written all over it. That makes it a case for Detective Sergeant Eustes Tully, a beleaguered, middle-aged cop with an almost scary sixth sense for cracking homicides. Tully looks at a crime scene as a fortune teller looks at tea leaves-and what he sees on Laredo Beach scares the hell out of him. When the killer strikes again, duplicating the first murder in every hideous detail, Tully thinks he's onto something. And when he's suddenly hustled off the investigation, he knows it. The eerie clues point backward in time, to a more innocent era-but one that has given birth to a vengeful maniac with a terrifying story to tell, over and over, written in blood. On or off the case, it's a story Tully intends to finish as swiftly as possible. He's in too deep to do anything else. ...

Shaping the Emerging World

by Waheguru Pal Sidhu Pratap Bhanu Mehta Bruce Jones

India faces a defining period. Its status as a global power is not only recognized but increasingly institutionalized, even as geopolitical shifts create both opportunities and challenges. With critical interests in almost every multilateral regime and vital stakes in emerging ones, India has no choice but to influence the evolving multilateral order. If India seeks to affect the multilateral order, how will it do so? In the past, it had little choice but to be content with rule taking--adhering to existing international norms and institutions. Will it now focus on rule breaking--challenging the present order primarily for effect and seeking greater accommodation in existing institutions? Or will it focus on rule shaping--contributing in partnership with others to shape emerging norms and regimes, particularly on energy, food, climate, oceans, and cyber security? And how do India's troubled neighborhood, complex domestic politics, and limited capacity inhibit its rule-shaping ability?Despite limitations, India increasingly has the ideas, people, and tools to shape the global order--in the words of Jawaharlal Nehru, "not wholly or in full measure, but very substantially." Will India emerge as one of the shapers of the emerging international order? This volume seeks to answer that question.

Still Ours to Lead: America, Rising Powers, and the Tension Between Rivalry and Restraint

by Bruce Jones

Is the United States still a "superpower"? How are the rising powers establishing themselves in international politics and security? What is the future of global stability? For over a decade, Bruce Jones has had a front-row seat as the emerging powers #151;principally China, India, and Brazil, but also Turkey, Indonesia, Korea, and others #151;thrust themselves onto the global stage. From Delhi to Doha to Beijing to Brasilia, he's met with the politicians, diplomats, business leaders, and scholars of those powers as they craft their strategies for rising influence #151;and with senior American officials as they forge their response. In Still Ours to Lead, Jones tells a nuanced story of American leadership. He artfully examines the tension between the impulse to rival the United States and the incentives for restraint and cooperation among the rising powers. That balance of rivalry and restraint provides the United States with a continued ability to solve problems and to manage crises at roughly the same rate as when American dominance was unquestioned. Maintaining the balance is central to the question of whether we will live in a stable or unstable system in the period to come. But it just so happens that this challenge plays to America's unique strength #151;its unparalleled ability to pull together broad and disparate coalitions for action. To succeed, America must adapt its leadership to new realities.

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