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Modellbasierte Produktentwicklung: Kundenbedürfnisse verstehen und tradierte Denkstile überwinden (essentials)

by Werner Engeln

Was sind die Ursachen dafür, dass mit viel Aufwand entwickelte Produkte im Markt scheitern? Die Produkte wurden an den Bedürfnissen der Kunden*innen vorbei entwickelt. Aber kein Unternehmen wird bewusst an den Kundenbedürfnissen vorbei entwickeln. Das vorliegende Buch befasst sich mit der Frage, wie objektiv eigentlich die Bedürfnisse von Kunden*innen ihren Weg in die Entwicklungsorganisation eines Unternehmens finden können und wie objektive sie dort in ein Produkt umgesetzt werden können. Ausgehend von Antworten auf diese Frage wird ein Ansatz entwickelt, mit Hilfe physischer Modelle eine frühzeitige Wahrnehmung der Produktattribute durch Kunden*innen zu ermöglichen, so deren Bedürfnisse genauer zu treffen und damit die Erfolgswahrscheinlichkeit der Produkte im Markt zu verbessern.

Modellieren und Programmieren unter Verwendung der Satzstruktur natürlicher Sprachen: Eine Anleitung

by Albert Fleischmann Christian Stary Matthes Elstermann Ronny Hengartner

Mit diesem Buch ist ein niederschwelliger, weil intuitiver Einstieg in die Modellierung von Abläufen sichergestellt. Anleitung für Personen ohne jegliches Vorwissen, wie mittels Elementen und Sätzen natürlicher Sprache Prozesswissen gewonnen und in ausführbare Modelle überführt werden kann. Das Werk nimmt Bedenken, dass Personen ohne Vorwissen nicht an Organisationsentwicklung und Modellbildung über Arbeitsplätzen nicht teilhaben können – im Gegenteil es sichert ihnen die Mitsprache auf nicht-flüchtiger Ebene durch sprachgerechte Kommunikation und Dokumentation. Sie wollen ins Tun kommen? Dies wollten wir auch – daher haben wir diese Anleitung zur Anwendung des subjektorientierten Denkmodells zur Entwicklung von Systemen geschrieben. Wir stellen alle entsprechenden Modellierungselemente und ihre Verwendung schrittweise vor, ebenso wie die Techniken, mit denen diese Modelle implementiert werden können. Schließlich leiten wir Sie an, wie sie sich einer Managementstruktur für die Erstellung komplexer subjektorientierter Systeme konstruktiv, weil auf Basis der natürlichen Sprache, bedienen können. Dies ist ein Open-Access-Buch.

Modellierung von Wasserrisiken: Entwicklung von Techniken zur Risiko-Rendite-Steuerung in der Finanzwelt und darüber hinaus

by Thomas Walker Dieter Gramlich Maya Michaeli Charlotte Esme Frank

Dieses Buch beleuchtet das Thema finanzielles Wasserrisiko, indem es die Modellierungs-Herausforderungen untersucht, die mit physischem, regulatorischem und Ruf-bedingtem Wasserrisiko in der Finanzwelt verbunden sind. Es erkundet verschiedene Ansätze zur Operationalisierung von Wasserrisiken aus finanzieller Analyse, Investmentmanagement und Klimawissenschaft. Die Analyse von Instrumenten zur Bewertung von Wasserrisiken bildet die Grundlage für die Entwicklung geeigneter Risiko-Rendite-Steuerungstechniken in der Finanzbranche und darüber hinaus. Dieses Buch liefert neue Einblicke, indem es sich auf finanzielle Wassergefahren und die damit verbundenen Chancen konzentriert. Es wird sowohl für Wissenschaftler als auch Praktiker von Interesse sein, die an der Schnittstelle von Finanzen, Wirtschaft, Natur und Gesellschaft tätig sind.

Modelling Aging and Migration Effects on Spatial Labor Markets (Advances in Spatial Science)

by Roger R. Stough Peter Nijkamp Karima Kourtit Uwe Blien

The aging and migration megatrends and their impact on spatial – regional and local – labor market performance is the core theme of this book, and thus together define its scope and focus. The contributions provide an overview of key aging and migration issues in various countries together with analyses of their varied impacts on regional labor markets. Systematic database research and related empirical analyses are used to map out the complex and dynamic nature of these trends, while cutting-edge economic and modeling techniques are used to analyze them. In closing, the book critically reviews and assesses selected policy measures designed to cope with the effects of aging and migration on regional labor markets.

Modelling Economic Capital: Practical Credit-Risk Methodologies, Applications, and Implementation Details (Contributions to Finance and Accounting)

by David Jamieson Bolder

How might one determine if a financial institution is taking risk in a balanced and productive manner? A powerful tool to address this question is economic capital, which is a model-based measure of the amount of equity that an entity must hold to satisfactorily offset its risk-generating activities. This book, with a particular focus on the credit-risk dimension, pragmatically explores real-world economic-capital methodologies and applications. It begins with the thorny practical issues surrounding the construction of an (industrial-strength) credit-risk economic-capital model, defensibly determining its parameters, and ensuring its efficient implementation. It then broadens its gaze to examine various critical applications and extensions of economic capital; these include loan pricing, the computation of loan impairments, and stress testing. Along the way, typically working from first principles, various possible modelling choices and related concepts are examined. The end result is a useful reference for students and practitioners wishing to learn more about a centrally important financial-management device.

Modelling Empty Container Repositioning Logistics

by Dong-Ping Song Jingxin Dong

The book takes the inventory control perspective to tackle empty container repositioning logistics problems in regional transportation systems by explicitly considering the features such as demand imbalance over space, dynamic operations over time, uncertainty in demand and transport, and container leasing phenomenon. The book has the following unique features. First, it provides a discussion of broad empty equipment logistics including empty freight vehicle redistribution, empty passenger vehicle redistribution, empty bike repositioning, empty container chassis repositioning, and empty container repositioning (ECR) problems. The similarity and unique characteristics of ECR compared to other empty equipment repositioning problems are explained. Second, we adopt the stochastic dynamic programming approach to tackle the ECR problems, which offers an algorithmic strategy to characterize the optimal policy and captures the sequential decision-making phenomenon in anticipation of uncertainties over time and space. Third, we are able to establish closed-form solutions and structural properties of the optimal ECR policies in relatively simple transportation systems. Such properties can then be utilized to construct threshold-type ECR policies for more complicated transportation systems. In fact, the threshold-type ECR policies resemble the well-known (s, S) and (s, Q) policies in inventory control theory. These policies have the advantages of being decentralized, easy to understand, easy to operate, quick response to random events, and minimal on-line computation and communication. Fourth, several sophisticated optimization techniques such as approximate dynamic programming, simulation-based meta-heuristics, stochastic approximation, perturbation analysis, and ordinal optimization methods are introduced to solve the complex stochastic optimization problems. The book will be of interest to researchers and professionals in logistics, transport, supply chain, and operations research.

Modelling Europe: A History of Multi-Country Models at the European Commission (1970-2005)

by Antonella Rancan Francesco Sergi

What was the role of economists and economics in the making of the European Union? This book sheds light on the activities of a particular type of economic experts: the macroeconomic modellers of the Directorate General for Economic and Financial Affairs (DG II), who built multi-country macroeconomic models of the European Economic Community. These models aim at studying the macroeconomic interactions between national economies and at providing insights about the effects of coordinating (or not) national economic policies. The book documents the origins, challenges, and progress made by DG II’s experts through building these models. This book provides insight into the influence of multi-country models on modern economics. It will be relevant to students and researchers interested in the history of economic thought and the development of macroeconomic policy.

Modelling Macroeconomic Adjustment with Growth in Developing Economies: The Case of India (Routledge Revivals)

by Sushanta K. Mallick

First published in 1999, this influential volume explores Macroeconomic Adjustment with a particular focus on India. Its inspiration originated from the introduction of stabilisation and structural adjustment policies in India in 1991. Mallick examines the application of this policy package by the International Monetary Fund and the World Bank to Developing Economies. First looking at the initial conditions and generators of imbalances, the appropriate policy framework for India’s initial conditions and structural characteristics is considered. While the effectiveness of the IMF had been strongly criticised, Mallick explains how it could be used more effectively. He argues that the programs applied are often contradictory and, using India as an example, examines the effects of policy reform on its trade sector, the repercussions on the direct economy and the costs associated with such policies in restoring stability and future economic growth, with particular support for the Vector Autoregression (VAR) framework. Mallick forwards a new structural model for policy purposes, evaluated for overall performance and optimal control.

Modelling Operational Risk Using Bayesian Inference

by Pavel V. Shevchenko

The management of operational risk in the banking industry has undergone explosive changes over the last decade due to substantial changes in the operational environment. Globalization, deregulation, the use of complex financial products, and changes in information technology have resulted in exposure to new risks which are very different from market and credit risks. In response, the Basel Committee on Banking Supervision has developed a new regulatory framework for capital measurement and standards for the banking sector. This has formally defined operational risk and introduced corresponding capital requirements. Many banks are undertaking quantitative modelling of operational risk using the Loss Distribution Approach (LDA) based on statistical quantification of the frequency and severity of operational risk losses. There are a number of unresolved methodological challenges in the LDA implementation. Overall, the area of quantitative operational risk is very new and different methods are under hot debate. This book is devoted to quantitative issues in LDA. In particular, the use of Bayesian inference is the main focus. Though it is very new in this area, the Bayesian approach is well suited for modelling operational risk, as it allows for a consistent and convenient statistical framework for quantifying the uncertainties involved. It also allows for the combination of expert opinion with historical internal and external data in estimation procedures. These are critical, especially for low-frequency/high-impact operational risks. This book is aimed at practitioners in risk management, academic researchers in financial mathematics, banking industry regulators and advanced graduate students in the area. It is a must-read for anyone who works, teaches or does research in the area of financial risk.

Modelling Pension Fund Investment Behaviour (Routledge Revivals)

by David Blake

First published in 1992, this title conducts an in-depth examination of the investment behaviour of pension funds, presenting the first econometric model in this area. Using the well-established framework of modern portfolio theory, David Blake derives a model of optimal portfolio behaviour that explains pension fund asset holdings in terms of the most important macroeconomic and cyclical indicators. He shows how factors such as industry profitability, the balance of payments and the monetary and fiscal policies of the government influence pension fund investments. Broad in scope, this reissue will be of particular value to students and academics with an interest in econometrics, investment analysis and the pension fund industry.

Modelling Single-name and Multi-name Credit Derivatives

by Dominic O'Kane

Modelling Single-name and Multi-name Credit Derivatives presents an up-to-date, comprehensive, accessible and practical guide to the pricing and risk-management of credit derivatives. It is both a detailed introduction to credit derivative modelling and a reference for those who are already practitioners.This book is up-to-date as it covers many of the important developments which have occurred in the credit derivatives market in the past 4-5 years. These include the arrival of the CDS portfolio indices and all of the products based on these indices. In terms of models, this book covers the challenge of modelling single-tranche CDOs in the presence of the correlation skew, as well as the pricing and risk of more recent products such as constant maturity CDS, portfolio swaptions, CDO squareds, credit CPPI and credit CPDOs.

Modelling Supply Chain Dynamics

by Jose M. Framinan

This book discusses supply chain management, focusing on developments within modelling the dynamic behaviour of the supply chain. Aimed at postgraduate students, researchers and practitioners, this book provides an in-depth knowledge of the dynamics of supply chains. Business trends such as the globalisation process and the increase of competition across many industrial sectors have forced companies to concentrate on their core competences and to outsource those activities in which they do not excel. As a consequence, companies no longer produce and distribute their goods in isolation, but being part of a supply chain or supply network, i.e. a set of interrelated companies who ultimately deliver the goods and services to the final customer. Despite the prevalence of supply chains as the primary form of production and distribution, their performance can be seriously hampered by the complex dynamics resulting from the collaboration and coordination (or lack thereof) among their members.This book provides the reader with modelling tools to understand, analyse and improve the dynamic behaviour of supply chains. It assembles seminal works on supply chain models and recent developments on the topic in order to provide a comprehensive, unified vision of the field for researchers and practitioners who wish to grasp the challenges of supply chain management. Aside presenting the main elements, equations and performance indicators governing the dynamics of a supply chain, and the book addresses issues such as the effect of timely and accurately sharing the information across members, the influence of restrictions on the productive capacities of their members, or the impact of the variability of the lead times, among others. Furthermore, more complex supply chain structures such as non-serial supply networks or closed-loop supply chains are modelled and discussed. Relevant managerial insights regarding the causes of supply chain underperformance, as well as avenues to improve their efficiency can be extracted from the resulting models.

Modelling Transitions: Virtues, Vices, Visions of the Future (Routledge Studies in Sustainability Transitions)

by Enayat A. Moallemi Fjalar J. de Haan

Modelling Transitions shows what computational, formal and data-driven approaches can and could mean for sustainability transitions research, presenting the state-of-the-art and exploring what lies beyond. Featuring contributions from many well-known authors, this book presents the various benefits of modelling for transitions research. More than just taking stock, it also critically examines what modelling of transformative change means and could mean for transitions research and for other disciplines that study societal changes. This includes identifying a variety of approaches currently not part of the portfolios of transitions modellers. Far from only singing praise, critical methodological and philosophical introspection are key aspects of this important book. This book speaks to modellers and non-modellers alike who value the development of robust knowledge on transitions to sustainability, including colleagues in congenial fields. Be they students, researchers or practitioners, everyone interested in transitions should find this book relevant as reference, resource and guide.

Modelling Trends and Cycles in Economic Time Series (Palgrave Texts in Econometrics)

by Terence C. Mills

Modelling trends and cycles in economic time series has a long history, with the use of linear trends and moving averages forming the basic tool kit of economists until the 1970s. Several developments in econometrics then led to an overhaul of the techniques used to extract trends and cycles from time series. In this second edition, Terence Mills expands on the research in the area of trends and cycles over the last (almost) two decades, to highlight to students and researchers the variety of techniques and the considerations that underpin their choice for modelling trends and cycles.

Modelling Unemployment Insurance: A Survey (Contributions to Economics)

by Paola Potestio

This book examines unemployment insurance policy through a survey, taking stock of the theoretical work in the field of labor economics. It closely follows and assesses developments in the modelling of optimal unemployment insurance (UI) policies, beginning with the initial analytical findings produced in the second half of the 1970s. A main part of the survey is devoted to the two basic strands of analysis about, respectively, the optimal level of UI benefits and the optimal time profile of UI policy. The book has two different objectives. The first is to provide an essential summary of the individual models, with the intention of underscoring how a number of specific messages for the policy-maker can be derived from analytical constructions. It further emphasizes and comments on what the models deliver to UI policy-makers. The second objective is to stress the importance and extension of open questions in the field of the theoretical approach to the unemployment insurance issue. The survey discusses the multiplicity of heterogeneities of the labor world in particular as relevant for UI issues on the one side, and on the other hand, the independence of the two basic choices of UI policy, its meaning and its limits, and the possible forms of complementarity between these choices.The book is a must-read for researchers, students, and policy-makers interested in a better understanding of the field of labor economics in general, as well as unemployment insurance policies in particular.

Modelling Value: Selected Papers of the 1st International Conference on Value Chain Management

by Richard J. Schonberger Herbert Jodlbauer Jan Olhager

The publication contains a selection of the best double-blind reviewed papers presented, discussed and revised by participants of the 1st International Conference on Value Chain Management in Austria, Steyr, May 2011. The Value Chain Management (VCM) Conference presents scientific insights relevant to management as well as their translation into the practice of management. The conference focus is on the demand chain i.e. sales, production, purchasing, logistics, performance measurement and customer value management. The authors present analytical and conceptual articles as well as empirical studies showing multidisciplinary and intercultural approaches towards solving relevant open problems.

Modelling and Forecasting High Frequency Financial Data

by Christos Floros Stavros Degiannakis

Modelling and Forecasting High Frequency Financial Data.

Modelling and Forecasting High Frequency Financial Data

by Christos Floros Stavros Degiannakis

The global financial crisis has reopened discussion surrounding the use of appropriate theoretical financial frameworks to reflect the current economic climate. There is a need for more sophisticated analytical concepts which take into account current quantitative changes and unprecedented turbulence in the financial markets. This book provides a comprehensive guide to the quantitative analysis of high frequency financial data in the light of current events and contemporary issues, using the latest empirical research and theory. It highlights and explains the shortcomings of theoretical frameworks and provides an explanation of high-frequency theory, emphasising ways in which to critically apply this knowledge within a financial context. Modelling and Forecasting High Frequency Financial Data combines traditional and updated theories and applies them to real-world financial market situations. It will be a valuable and accessible resource for anyone wishing to understand quantitative analysis and modelling in current financial markets.

Modelling and Forecasting in Dry Bulk Shipping: Modelling And Forecasting In Dry Bulk Shipping (The Grammenos Library)

by Hilde Meersman Eddy Van de Voorde Shun Chen Koos Frouws

This book models price behaviour and forecasts prices in the dry bulk shipping market, a major component of the world shipping industry. Recent uncertainties in the world economy, shipbuilding developments and fleet changes mean the dry bulk shipping market has become extremely volatile, highly speculative and more sensitive to external shocks. In response to these challenging circumstances, this book models price behaviour and forecasts prices in various markets including the freight market, the new build ship market and the second-hand ship market. The authors have carried out an extensive investigation of dry bulk shipping over a 60-year period in diverse sub-markets, trading routes, market conditions and dry bulk vessels. The authors also propose a framework for analysing and modelling the economic processes of numerous variables in the dry bulk shipping market, making use of modern econometric techniques and other economic approaches. This will be especially useful for the control and assessment of risk for ship owners and charterers in ship operation, ship chartering and ship trading activities. This book will be extremely useful for shipbuilders, owners and charterers, as well as shipping analysts and policymakers. It will also be of great interest to academics and researchers concerned with the economics of the shipping industry.

Modelling and Simulation in Management

by Ioan Constantin Dima Mariana Man

This book is a comprehensive introduction of the reader into the simulation and modelling techniques and their application in the management of organisations. The book is rooted in the thorough understanding of systems theory applied to organisations and focuses on how this theory can apply to econometric models used in the management of organisations. The econometric models in this book employ linear and dynamic programming, graph theory, queuing theory, game theory, etc. and are presented and analysed in various fields of application, such as investment management, stock management, strategic decision making, management of production costs and the lifecycle costs of quality and non-quality products, production quality Management, etc.

Modelling and Simulation in Management Sciences: Proceedings of the International Conference on Modelling and Simulation in Management Sciences (MS-18) (Advances in Intelligent Systems and Computing #894)

by Janusz Kacprzyk Joan Carles Ferrer-Comalat Salvador Linares-Mustarós José M. Merigó

This book includes a collection of selected papers presented at the International Conference on Modelling and Simulation in Engineering, Economics, and Management, held at the Faculty of Economics and Business at the University of Girona, Spain, 28-29 June 2018.The conference was organized by the Association for the Advancement of Modelling and Simulation Techniques in Enterprises (AMSE) and the University of Girona with the aim of promoting research in the field of modelling, simulation and management science. This book presents original research studies related to fuzzy logic, soft computing and uncertainty, as well as a number of papers in the field of bibliometrics in social sciences. Presenting new advances in these areas, with a special focus on management, economics and social sciences.It is of great interest to researchers and Ph.D. students working in the field of fuzzy logic, soft computing, uncertainty and bibliometrics.

Modelling in Life Insurance – A Management Perspective (EAA Series #0)

by Jean-Paul Laurent Ragnar Norberg Frédéric Planchet

Focusing on life insurance and pensions, this book addresses various aspects of modelling in modern insurance: insurance liabilities; asset-liability management; securitization, hedging, and investment strategies. With contributions from internationally renowned academics in actuarial science, finance, and management science and key people in major life insurance and reinsurance companies, there is expert coverage of a wide range of topics, for example: models in life insurance and their roles in decision making; an account of the contemporary history of insurance and life insurance mathematics; choice, calibration, and evaluation of models; documentation and quality checks of data; new insurance regulations and accounting rules; cash flow projection models; economic scenario generators; model uncertainty and model risk; model-based decision-making at line management level; models and behaviour of stakeholders. With author profiles ranging from highly specialized model builders to decision makers at chief executive level, this book should prove a useful resource to students and academics of actuarial science as well as practitioners.

Modelling in Mathematical Programming: Methodology and Techniques (International Series in Operations Research & Management Science #298)

by José Manuel García Sánchez

This book provides basic tools for learning how to model in mathematical programming, from models without much complexity to complex system models. It presents a unique methodology for the building of an integral mathematical model, as well as new techniques that help build under own criteria. It allows readers to structure models from the elements and variables to the constraints, a basic modelling guide for any system with a new scheme of variables, a classification of constraints and also a set of rules to model specifications stated as logical propositions, helping to better understand models already existing in the literature. It also presents the modelling of all possible objectives that may arise in optimization problems regarding the variables values.The book is structured to guide the reader in an orderly manner, learning of the components that the methodology establishes in an optimization problem. The system includes the elements, which are all the actors that participate in the system, decision activities that occur in the system, calculations based on the decision activities, specifications such as regulations, impositions or actions of defined value and objective criterion, which guides the resolution of the system.

Modelling in Urban and Regional Economics (Fundamentals Of Pure And Applied Economics Ser. #Vol. 2)

by A. Anas

This title provides a comprehensive, critical coverage of the progress and development of mathematical modelling within urban and regional economics over four decades.

Modelling our Changing World (Palgrave Texts in Econometrics)

by David F. Hendry Jennifer L. Castle

This open access book focuses on the concepts, tools and techniques needed to successfully model ever-changing time-series data. It emphasizes the need for general models to account for the complexities of the modern world and how these can be applied to a range of issues facing Earth, from modelling volcanic eruptions, carbon dioxide emissions and global temperatures, to modelling unemployment rates, wage inflation and population growth.Except where otherwise noted, this book is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License. To view a copy of this licence, visit http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0.

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